- Why did everyone start to hate the Russians if the U.S. did the same thing in Afghanistan, Iraq?
- What needs to be corrected in the management of Russia first?
- Why did Blaise Pascal become a religious man at the end of his life?
- How do I know if a guy likes you?
- When they say "one generation", how many do they mean?
First, the presence of real prerequisites for protest. For example, in the last election in Israel, the US state Department funded the movement of the V-15, which was to persuade the electorate to vote massively against Benjamin Netanyahu (see more here: mosaicmagazine.com) Activists went home, was a de in Israel is horror because of Netanyahu, but voters horror stories don't really believe.
Secondly, creativity and willingness to stand up to the end. The real protest is a motley crowd, handwritten and other homemade posters, and the expansion of the action in spite of (or thanks to) batons and bullets. Simply put, the Kiev Maidan. The opposite example is the Kiev Anti-Maidan with the same sullen workers, the same tents, the same slogans and the rapid disappearance of protesters after the rally ends.
First of all, I think the question is not correct. Protest movements arise in one way or another in a group of people who are close to each other in their political positions and are ready for an active demonstration (not to be confused with pogroms, clashes with the police, etc.)
Do not substitute the concept of protests for riots, the line is thin, BUT IT is THERE: because protests are an attempt to peacefully reach out to the authorities or draw public attention to the problem.
Any protests, in any country, attract attention (everyone!!!) foreign special services from the point of view of studying (for collecting information), from the point of view of practical use (in the field of identifying the weaknesses of a particular state)
Intelligence agencies, by definition, must act covertly, so “create “should be replaced with” push “or”direct”.
Violation of secrecy for special services is fraught with the disclosure of an agent network, that is, the loss of sources of information and sources of influence. The exception is the shameless and open actions of the US special services and their closest allies in a number of countries that have problems in power, legitimacy, and so on.
And at the end: remember, any protest can be pushed to riots, there will always be those who want to. Further, there are no victories without losses, sometimes this can lead to unpredictable losses of hundreds, thousands and even millions of people, the collapse of states, economies, and a world war-the destruction of life on earth. And do not forget the main thing – do not confuse the interests of a clear minority with the interests of a clear majority, the majority always wants peace, prosperity and stability.
In the modern world, almost any protest movement in any country (except, perhaps, the most impoverished African states) is supported by the special services of one of the countries interested in establishing their influence in these countries. For example, Russia's zone of influence traditionally includes the post-Soviet space, Eastern Europe, once the Middle East, and now Latin America. The US area of interest includes Central America, the Middle East, Western Europe, Russia and the CIS. That is, interests strongly overlap, and if you dig into the biography of any modern “dictator”, then the ears of all sorts of funds, NGOs, and sometimes official state support from one of the world's largest powers are necessarily sticking out in his past. It has long been no secret that Al-Qaeda and ISIL, which everyone is now fighting so hard against, once received active financial and political support from the US State Department and are literally fighting with American weapons.
So there is almost always an external influence, so the question of the ratio of the shares of internal and external factors in the protest movement is more important. But it is much more difficult to answer, and it is hardly possible to give unambiguous criteria for the difference. A more or less objective picture usually opens up in 20-30 years, when the main characters are no longer in business or have died altogether, and the secrecy label is removed from many cases.
To begin with, take for granted the fact that there may be people in your country who are dissatisfied with the existing government. It is ok.
Then accept as fact that some of these people may have ambitions to become power themselves. This is also normal.
Finally, accept the fact that every movement has leaders in one way or another. This is normal too.
And as a cherry on the cake, the idea that the people in your country are capable of something. We must respect our people, respect our country.
Everything else is demagoguery.
Everything else is up to you. Actually, even identical tents are not proof of the involvement of foreign special services. Relatively speaking, on the same Maidan, tents were actively purchased by Poroshenko's team – then just a large oligarch who (oh horror!) I had my own interests.
And the special services…We have on the main square of the country a mummy of a man who returned to our country at the beginning of the 20th century under the control of the German special services.